俄乌战争

后普京时代

The spectre of a post-invasion and perhaps post-Putin Russia, in which armed militias prowl the land and contest territory, might seem remote right now. As does a replay of the civil war that followed the Bolshevik revolution–and was warned of, but mercifully avoided, after the Soviet Union’s collapse. But the licence granted to Wagner, and the debt it might want the Kremlin to repay once the war is done, leaves this terrifying prospect hanging in the air.

后入侵时代，或许是后普京时代的俄罗斯——武装民兵在土地上四处游荡，争夺领土——的幽灵现在似乎很遥远。布尔什维克革命之后的内战重演也是如此，在苏联解体后，内战得到了警告，但幸运的是避免了。但是授予瓦格纳的执照，以及战争结束后它可能要求克里姆林宫偿还的债务，使得这一可怕的前景悬而未决。^[1]

俄乌战争中即使 Prigozhin 没有野心，但瓦格纳也构成对于藩镇的猜想。